January Newsletter 2026

Silver.

Typically, our next newsletter would be released in February. That would certainly be the case in normal times. Obviously, these are not normal times. Therefore, we’re going to take a brief look at what has changed in the silver market over the last 30 to 60 days. We find that this run-up in prices is not driven by speculation. It is a fundamental recognition of what many have been saying for decades – silver is a unique metal, and “eventually” the market will figure that out.

Welcome to “eventually.”

For those who have been our clients for years, steadily accumulating this precious white metal – congratulations. Your diligence and patience have paid off. For those of you new to OWNx, welcome! This bull market in silver likely has legs to run.

All the best,

The OWNx Team

Gold and Silver

What Do the Charts Say?

Briefly, let’s take a look at the gold chart. While its moves have not been as dramatic as silver, it too is consistently reaching all-time highs. The reasons for its strength are more obvious. One only needs to read the headlines in your X feed or online to conclude that there are increasing odds that a major destabilizing event is ahead. The reaction? The premium on geopolitical and global economic insurance is pricing in that risk.

Now, let’s turn to silver. In the last two years, we’ve repeatedly stated that “when silver decides to play catch up to gold, watch out.” There was no way to tell exactly when it would occur or exactly what would trigger it, but here we are. Here are a few reasons we are hearing from our sources within the industry:

  1. China has halted silver exports. That immediately removes 14% of annual production from the market.
  2. There is an imbalance of above-ground silver supplies between the United States and Europe.
  3. The amount of silver required to “feed” the AI build-out of chips, power stations, and supply grid is growing rapidly.
  4. Annual silver demand is projected to rise each year from a base of 1.12 billion ounces in 2025. Annual silver mining output in 2025 is expected to be $820 million ounces, leaving a 300 million ounce (and growing) deficit per year.

 

Those are just a few contributing factors. When you remove access to 14% of a market where demand for the product is rising, and production is already in a deficit, you have a recipe for exploding prices. This is why, at the outset, we said, this is not a speculative price surge that will end in a collapse to $30 per ounce again. If anything, the charts show a strong floor at $70 per ounce. However, with demand as it is and world events as they are, unless a major global liquidity crisis forces large institutions to sell profitable liquid assets to remain solvent, most analysts believe silver will continue to rise to between $130 and $300 per ounce within the next two years.

With that said, silver is silver. It can and will experience wide swings in price. Thus, dollar-cost averaging into this bull market remains a prudent way to take advantage of any brief pullbacks that will occur. We will update you further with our regularly scheduled February Newsletter. Until then, happy stacking!

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Gold-related News

The Silver Squeeze: Historic $94 Breach Signals Deepening Structural Crisis in Industrial Metals

The journey to $94 silver was not an overnight phenomenon but the result of a compounding structural imbalance that began in 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, the silver market recorded five consecutive years of massive deficits, with the cumulative gap reaching approximately 820 million ounces—nearly a full year’s worth of global mine production.

Silver Prices Are Up 25% Already In 2026. Can They Keep Rising?

Part of silver’s surge, meanwhile, centers on physical stockpiles that have accumulated in U.S. warehouses as buyers bought increased amounts last year. That buying disrupted normal silver flows in the global market and left the traditional global hub in London in short supply. It reflected a response to President Trump’s threatened tariffs on certain precious metals, including silver and platinum. Trump this week backed off those threats.